Hypothermic oxygenated perfusion (HOPE) safely and effectively extends acceptable donor heart preservation times: Results of the Australian and New Zealand trial.

BACKGROUND: Cold static storage preservation of donor hearts for periods longer than 4 hours increases the risk of primary graft dysfunction (PGD). The aim of the study was to determine if hypothermic oxygenated perfusion (HOPE) could safely prolong the preservation time of donor hearts. METHODS: We conducted a nonrandomized, single arm, multicenter investigation of the effect of HOPE using the XVIVO Heart Preservation System on donor hearts with a projected preservation time of 6 to 8 hours on 30-day recipient survival and allograft function post-transplant. Each center completed 1 or 2 short preservation time followed by long preservation time cases. PGD was classified as occurring in the first 24 hours after transplantation or secondary graft dysfunction (SGD) occurring at any time with a clearly defined cause. Trial survival was compared with a comparator group based on data from the International Society of Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) Registry. RESULTS: We performed heart transplants using 7 short and 29 long preservation time donor hearts placed on the HOPE system. The mean preservation time for the long preservation time cases was 414 minutes, the longest being 8 hours and 47 minutes. There was 100% survival at 30 days. One long preservation time recipient developed PGD, and 1 developed SGD. One short preservation time patient developed SGD. Thirty day survival was superior to the ISHLT comparator group despite substantially longer preservation times in the trial patients. CONCLUSIONS: HOPE provides effective preservation out to preservation times of nearly 9 hours allowing retrieval from remote geographic locations.

Using machine learning to predict bleeding after cardiac surgery.

OBJECTIVES: The primary objective was to predict bleeding after cardiac surgery with machine learning using the data from the Australia New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons Cardiac Surgery Database, cardiopulmonary bypass perfusion database, intensive care unit database and laboratory results. METHODS: We obtained surgical, perfusion, intensive care unit and laboratory data from a single Australian tertiary cardiac surgical hospital from February 2015 to March 2022 and included 2000 patients undergoing cardiac surgery. We trained our models to predict either the Papworth definition or Dyke et al.'s universal definition of perioperative bleeding. Our primary outcome was the performance of our machine learning algorithms using sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, accuracy, area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) and area under precision-recall curve (AUPRC). RESULTS: Of the 2000 patients undergoing cardiac surgery, 13.3% (226/2000) had bleeding using the Papworth definition and 17.2% (343/2000) had moderate to massive bleeding using Dyke et al.'s definition. The best-performing model based on AUPRC was the Ensemble Voting Classifier model for both Papworth (AUPRC 0.310, AUROC 0.738) and Dyke definitions of bleeding (AUPRC 0.452, AUROC 0.797). CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning can incorporate routinely collected data from various datasets to predict bleeding after cardiac surgery.

Global Unmet Needs in Cardiac Surgery.

More than 6 billion people live outside industrialized countries and have insufficient access to cardiac surgery. Given the recently confirmed high prevailing mortality for rheumatic heart disease in many of these countries together with increasing numbers of patients needing interventions for lifestyle diseases due to an accelerating epidemiological transition, a significant need for cardiac surgery could be assumed. Yet, need estimates were largely based on extrapolated screening studies while true service levels remained unknown. A multi-author effort representing 16 high-, middle-, and low-income countries was undertaken to narrow the need assessment for cardiac surgery including rheumatic and lifestyle cardiac diseases as well as congenital heart disease on the basis of existing data deduction. Actual levels of cardiac surgery were determined in each of these countries on the basis of questionnaires, national databases, or annual reports of national societies. Need estimates range from 200 operations per million in low-income countries that are nonendemic for rheumatic heart disease to >1,000 operations per million in high-income countries representing the end of the epidemiological transition. Actually provided levels of cardiac surgery range from 0.5 per million in the assessed low- and lower-middle income countries (average 107 ± 113 per million; representing a population of 1.6 billion) to 500 in the upper-middle-income countries (average 270 ± 163 per million representing a population of 1.9 billion). By combining need estimates with the assessment of de facto provided levels of cardiac surgery, it emerged that a significant degree of underdelivery of often lifesaving open heart surgery does not only prevail in low-income countries but is also disturbingly high in middle-income countries.

Rheumatic mitral repair versus replacement in a threshold country: the impact of commissural fusion.

BACKGROUND AND AIM OF THE STUDY: In developing countries rheumatic heart disease is the predominant indication for cardiac surgery. As the disease tends to progress, reoperation rates for mitral valve repairs are high. Against this background, the predictors of failure were assessed and the overall performance of repairs compared with replacements in a 10-year cohort of rheumatic single mitral valve procedures. METHODS: Between 2000 and 2010, a total of 646 consecutive adult (aged >15 years) patients underwent primary, single mitral valve procedures. All 87 percutaneous balloon valvuloplasties (100%) were rheumatic, compared to 280 of the 345 primary mitral valve replacements (81%) and 69 of the 215 primary mitral valve repairs (32%). As the study aim was to compare the outcome of mitral valve repair versus replacement in rheumatic patients of a threshold country, all 69 repair patients were propensity-matched with 69 of the replacement patients. Based on propensity score analysis, Kaplan-Meier actuarial analysis with log-rank testing was used to evaluate survival and morbidity. RESULTS: The follow up was 100% complete (n = 138), and ranged from 0.6 to 132 months (mean 53.3 +/- 36.5 months). Actuarial freedom from valve-related mortality was 96 +/- 3% and 92 +/- 4% at five years, and 96 +/- 3% and 80 +/- 11% at 10 years for repairs and replacements, respectively (p = NS). Actuarial freedom from all valve-related events (deaths, reoperations and morbidity) was 80 +/- 6% and 86 +/- 5% at five years, and 70 +/- 8% and 69 +/- 11% at 10 years (p = NS). Actuarial freedom from all valve-related events was 57 +/- 11% and 96 +/- 3% at five years (p = 0.0008), and 42 +/- 12% and 96 +/- 3% at 10 years (p < 0.001) for those mitral valve repairs with and without commissural fusion, respectively (p = 0.0002 overall). CONCLUSION: The long-term results for mitral valve replacement in an indigent, rheumatic heart disease population of a developing country were better than generally perceived. Notwithstanding, mitral valve repair has a superior long-term outcome in those patients who do not show commissural fusion at operation.

Pulmonary artery banding: still a valuable option in developing countries?

OBJECTIVE: We examined whether the socio-economic circumstances of a developing country justify pulmonary artery banding (PAB) for the deferral of perceived high-risk patients requiring biventricular repair. METHODS: A retrospective cohort analysis was done on 143 consecutive patients with ventricular anatomy suitable for a biventricular repair, who had a pulmonary artery band applied between 1 January 2002 and 31 December 2007 as they were considered too high a risk to undergo corrective surgery. The goal in all patients was to lower their risk of definitive surgery by improving their clinical condition. The minimum follow-up period was 2 years with the closing date for data collection being 31 January 2010. The mean weight and age at PAB was 5.34 ± 2.94 kg and 9.9 ± 17.3 months. The endpoints of the study were mortality, interval hospital readmission, growth pattern post-banding, whether or not definitive correction was achieved, and the current follow-up status of uncorrected patients. RESULTS: The hospital mortality was 8% (n = 12), the inter-stage mortality 21% (n = 30), and the total mortality 29% (n = 42). Positive growth was not shown in 50% following the banding procedure. The mean number of inter-current hospital admissions was 1.5 ± 2 times per patient. At the termination of data collection, after a mean interval of 24.5 ± 14.3 months, debanding and full correction was achieved in 43% (n = 62). In addition to the 29% (n = 42) that were confirmed to be dead, an additional 28% (n = 39) were not corrected and of these almost half were regarded as lost to follow-up. Thus, of the entire cohort of patients, 57% (n = 81) have not achieved definitive correction at the termination of data collection. CONCLUSION: A strategy of deferring biventricular repair by the application of a pulmonary artery band is ineffective under Third World conditions largely due to lack of patient compliance. This study shows that the overall mortality in the inter-stage period following PAB is high prior to definitive correction. Less than half of patients will eventually be repaired in a reasonable time frame and patient follow-up is unreliable. We conclude that consideration should be given to early definitive repair even in perceived high-risk cases.